What’s to come: the future of social media consumption
With broadband penetration (and capacity) increasing, and music devices increasingly connected to WiFi (iPod Touch, iPhone) or to 3G (Nokia’s big music push; laptops), the general consensus is that the future lies in media streaming, not the traditional stored music collections (be it shelves of LPs, stacks of CDs and DVDs, or hard drives full of mp3s and DiVX).
A few years from now, you and all your friends will be consuming music online, on demand, from a myriad of different sources. If you use Mozilla Songbird, you can already pull in all the music posted on music blogs and Hype Machine into an iTunes-like virtual music library.
Even more than infinite diversity of on demand music, the killer app for free (probably ad-supported) streaming media is that anyone can access it from anywhere in the world – they just need a link to it (unlike the mp3’s on your iPod). That’s the simple little thing that suggests we’re in for a REVOLUTION in the way we consume and discover music. The logic is simple:
Someone will setup a service which, when you stream music or a video anywhere on the web, will alert all your friends (that have signed up to this); the ones that are interested can follow a link and watch it themselves.
This takes viral media sharing to an entirely new level – it’s not just links via email, posted on your blog, etc – it’s immediate, life-streaming stuff. I envisage a Twitter-like stream of updates from my friends about what songs they’re listening to, what videos they’re watching, and if the streaming service also plugs in its comments into this mediastream, Twitter-like (public) conversations also.
Just like Twitter, it will be very simple to directly message someone (“Hey, @flipbrad, check out this video I’m watching now!) and to follow someone’s media consumption (if, for example, they have very good taste in music, or comedy clips, etc).
So who could do this? As i just suggested to @stein on Twitter, imeem could become the de-facto music streaming service on the web; login to it when you listen to a song on a blog via an imeem widget, and imeem can aggregate everything you and your friends are currently listening to. It’s not hard to imagine Last.fm making a bigger feature out of ‘What Your Friends Are Listening To Now’ and find a way to aggregate streaming as well as desktop-based listening. Likewise, iTunes could make a social iTunes client and link your friends’ recently listened-to tracks to their iTunes music store.
Who knows? Maybe if a web-wide standard for sharing this info could be agreed on, a galaxy of aggregators could be agreed on, a whole number of aggregators could exist (just like RSS readers do). Doubtless Facebook and Friendfeed would jump at the opportunity. But we mustn’t make the same mistake we did with RSS, which is a one-way, non-conversational tool (unless you add things like the Disqus gReader plugin to be able to comment on stories and blogs from within your RSS reader).
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